Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.001812 0.001919 0.002029 0.002151 0.002283 0.002421 0.002578
2025-05-18 0.001650 0.001800 0.001962 0.002148 0.002359 0.002591 0.002866
2025-05-25 0.001515 0.001689 0.001881 0.002112 0.002381 0.002687 0.003065
2025-06-01 0.001419 0.001610 0.001827 0.002092 0.002411 0.002785 0.003263
2025-06-08 0.001357 0.001564 0.001804 0.002103 0.002473 0.002919 0.003505
2025-06-15 0.001291 0.001506 0.001760 0.002085 0.002494 0.002998 0.003680
2025-06-22 0.001237 0.001461 0.001728 0.002076 0.002523 0.003087 0.003869
2025-06-29 0.001184 0.001412 0.001689 0.002055 0.002533 0.003149 0.004023
2025-07-06 0.001134 0.001365 0.001649 0.002029 0.002534 0.003197 0.004159
2025-07-13 0.001076 0.001305 0.001590 0.001975 0.002494 0.003186 0.004209
2025-07-20 0.001049 0.001283 0.001577 0.001981 0.002535 0.003286 0.004419
2025-07-27 0.001028 0.001268 0.001572 0.001996 0.002586 0.003401 0.004659
2025-08-03 0.001017 0.001267 0.001589 0.002045 0.002691 0.003605 0.005054
2025-08-10 0.000990 0.001244 0.001575 0.002050 0.002736 0.003725 0.005333
2025-08-17 0.000950 0.001203 0.001535 0.002018 0.002724 0.003759 0.005478
2025-08-24 0.000919 0.001172 0.001507 0.002000 0.002731 0.003822 0.005673
2025-08-31 0.000900 0.001156 0.001500 0.002011 0.002782 0.003953 0.005987
2025-09-07 0.000872 0.001128 0.001474 0.001994 0.002787 0.004013 0.006187
2025-09-14 0.000850 0.001105 0.001454 0.001985 0.002806 0.004095 0.006429
2025-09-21 0.000825 0.001078 0.001428 0.001965 0.002806 0.004144 0.006616
2025-09-28 0.000800 0.001051 0.001400 0.001941 0.002797 0.004178 0.006777
2025-10-05 0.000768 0.001013 0.001356 0.001890 0.002742 0.004133 0.006786
2025-10-12 0.000754 0.001001 0.001349 0.001896 0.002780 0.004247 0.007104